Christopher G. Gibbs | IDEAS/RePEc

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  • Eskelinen, Maria & Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Resolving new keynesian puzzles," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2024, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Haochun Ma & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2025. "Clearing Up the Effective Lower Bound Morass," Papers 2511.04782, arXiv.org.

  • Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Online Appendix to "Code and data files for "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?"," Online Appendices 22-197, Review of Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
    2. Cole, Stephen J. & Huh, Sungjun, 2024. "Measuring the effects of unconventional monetary policy tools under adaptive learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    3. Chunbing Cai & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup & Zhongxi Zheng, 2025. "Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound," Papers 2501.06473, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    4. Bobasu, Alina & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Ambrocio, Gene & Auer, Simone & Bonfim, Diana & Bottero, Margherita & Brázdik, František & Buss, Ginters & Byrne, David & Casalis, André , 2025. "Monetary policy transmission: a reference guide through ESCB models and empirical benchmarks," Occasional Paper Series 377, European Central Bank.
    5. Haochun Ma & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2025. "Clearing Up the Effective Lower Bound Morass," Papers 2511.04782, arXiv.org.

  • Stefano Eusepi & Christopher G. Gibbs & Bruce Preston, 2022. "Monetary Policy Trade-Offs at the Zero Lower Bound," CAMA Working Papers 2022-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Dupraz, Stéphane & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2024. "Make-up strategies with finite planning horizons but infinitely forward-looking asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    2. Eskelinen, Maria & Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Resolving new keynesian puzzles," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2024, Bank of Finland.
    3. Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 393-423, December.

  • Eusepi, Stefano & Gibbs, Chris & Preston, Bruce, 2021. "Forward guidance with unanchored expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025. "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints 320299, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Ascari, Guido & Mavroeidis, Sophocles & McClung, Nigel, 2023. "Coherence without rationality at the zero lower bound," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).

  • Evans, George & Gibbs, Christopher & McGough, Bruce, 2021. "A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast," Working Papers 2021-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics.

    Cited by:

  • Eusepi, Stefano & Gibbs, Chris & Preston, Bruce, 2021. "Forward guidance with unanchored expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Guido Ascari & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Coherence without Rationality at the ZLB," Working Papers 784, DNB.
    2. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2022. "Expectations, Stagnation, And Fiscal Policy: A Nonlinear Analysis," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1397-1425, August.
    3. Müller, Tobias & Christoffel, Kai & Mazelis, Falk & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2022. "Disciplining expectations and the forward guidance puzzle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025. "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints 320299, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Ascari, Guido & Mavroeidis, Sophocles & McClung, Nigel, 2023. "Coherence without rationality at the zero lower bound," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    6. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  • Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2019. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
    2. Cole, Stephen J. & Huh, Sungjun, 2024. "Measuring the effects of unconventional monetary policy tools under adaptive learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    3. Chunbing Cai & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup & Zhongxi Zheng, 2025. "Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound," Papers 2501.06473, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    4. Bobasu, Alina & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Ambrocio, Gene & Auer, Simone & Bonfim, Diana & Bottero, Margherita & Brázdik, František & Buss, Ginters & Byrne, David & Casalis, André , 2025. "Monetary policy transmission: a reference guide through ESCB models and empirical benchmarks," Occasional Paper Series 377, European Central Bank.
    5. Haochun Ma & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2025. "Clearing Up the Effective Lower Bound Morass," Papers 2511.04782, arXiv.org.

  • Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2019. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
    2. Cole, Stephen J. & Huh, Sungjun, 2024. "Measuring the effects of unconventional monetary policy tools under adaptive learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    3. Chunbing Cai & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup & Zhongxi Zheng, 2025. "Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound," Papers 2501.06473, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    4. Bobasu, Alina & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Ambrocio, Gene & Auer, Simone & Bonfim, Diana & Bottero, Margherita & Brázdik, František & Buss, Ginters & Byrne, David & Casalis, André , 2025. "Monetary policy transmission: a reference guide through ESCB models and empirical benchmarks," Occasional Paper Series 377, European Central Bank.
    5. André, Marine-Charlotte & Traficante, Guido, 2020. "Forward Guidance in Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper 104600, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Haochun Ma & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2025. "Clearing Up the Effective Lower Bound Morass," Papers 2511.04782, arXiv.org.

  • Christopher G Gibbs & Jonathan Hambur & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "DSGE Reno: Adding a Housing Block to a Small Open Economy Model," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2018-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.

    Cited by:

    1. Gianni La Cava & Calvin He, 2021. "The Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Local Housing Markets in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 54(3), pages 387-397, September.
    2. Gelfer, Sacha, 2021. "Evaluating the forecasting power of an open-economy DSGE model when estimated in a data-Rich environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    3. Benjamin Beckers & Anthony Brassil, 2022. "Inflation Expectations in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(1), pages 125-135, March.
    4. Yusuf Ömür Yılmaz, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Model with Habit Formation," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 35(1), pages 26-49.
    5. Matthew Read, 2023. "Estimating the Effects of Monetary Policy in Australia Using Sign‐restricted Structural Vector Autoregressions," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(326), pages 329-358, September.
    6. Alexander Ballantyne & Tom Cusbert & Richard Evans & Rochelle Guttmann & Jonathan Hambur & Adam Hamilton & Elizabeth Kendall & Rachael McCririck & Gabriela Nodari & Daniel M. Rees, 2020. "MARTIN Has Its Place: A Macroeconometric Model of the Australian Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 225-251, September.
    7. Calvin He & Gianni La Cava, 2020. "The Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Local Housing Markets," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2020-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    8. Gulnara Nolan & Jonathan Hambur & Philip Vermeulen, 2023. "Does Monetary Policy Affect Non-mining Business Investment in Australia? Evidence from BLADE," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2023-09, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    9. David Rodgers & Jonathan Hambur, 2018. "The GFC Investment Tax Break," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2018-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    10. Christopher G. Gibbs & Jonathan Hambur & Gabriela Nodari, 2021. "Housing and Commodity Investment Booms in a Small Open Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(317), pages 212-242, June.
    11. Chris Murphy, 2020. "Decisions in Designing an Australian Macroeconomic Model," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 252-270, September.

  • Christopher G. Gibbs, 2017. "Learning to Believe in Secular Stagnation," Discussion Papers 2017-11, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.

    Cited by:

    1. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Neil R. Mehrotra & Jacob A. Robbins, 2017. "A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 23093, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2022. "Expectations, Stagnation, And Fiscal Policy: A Nonlinear Analysis," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1397-1425, August.
    3. Gibbs, Christopher G. & McClung, Nigel, 2019. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2019, Bank of Finland.

  • Christopher G. Gibbs & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2017. "Conditionally Optimal Weights and Forward-Looking Approaches to Combining Forecasts," Discussion Papers 2017-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.

    Cited by:

    1. Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
    2. Sebastian Fossati, 2017. "Testing for State-Dependent Predictive Ability," Working Papers 2017-09, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    3. Wei Qian & Craig A. Rolling & Gang Cheng & Yuhong Yang, 2019. "On the Forecast Combination Puzzle," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-26, September.
    4. Wang, Shuai & Wang, Qian & Lu, Helen & Zhang, Dongxue & Xing, Qianyi & Wang, Jianzhou, 2025. "Learning about tail risk: Machine learning and combination with regularization in market risk management," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Radchenko, Peter & Vasnev, Andrey & Wang, Wendun, 2020. "Too similar to combine? On negative weights in forecast combination," Working Papers BAWP-2020-02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.

  • Christopher Gibbs, 2015. "Forecast Combination, Non-linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 2015-05, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.

    Cited by:

    1. Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019. "New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
    2. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024. "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp792, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    3. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025. "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp797, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    4. Gelfer, Sacha, 2020. "The effects of professional forecast dissemination on macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 131-156.
    5. Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2018. "Price Level Targeting with Evolving Credibility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12739, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Christopher G. Gibbs & Mariano Kulish, 2015. "Disinflations in a model of imperfectly anchored expectations," Discussion Papers 2015-22, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    7. Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    8. Pei Kuang & Li Tang & Renbin Zhang & Tongbin Zhang, 2025. "Are survey stock price forecasts anchored by fundamental forecasts? A long-run perspective," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 79(2), pages 657-685, March.

  • Christopher G. Gibbs & Mariano Kulish, 2015. "Disinflations in a model of imperfectly anchored expectations," CAMA Working Papers 2015-36, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    Cited by:

    1. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025. "A simple measure of anchoring for short-run expected inflation in FIRE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    2. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
    3. Javier García-Cicco, 2022. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility: An Exploration," Working Papers 115, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    4. Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2020. "Price level targeting with evolving credibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 88-103.
    5. Javier García-Cicco, 2019. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility in Small and Open Economies: An Exploration," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4145, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    6. Hatcher, Michael, 2022. "Solving linear rational expectations models in the presence of structural change: Some extensions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Germán Gutiérrez & Callum Jones & Mr. Thomas Philippon, 2019. "Entry Costs and the Macroeconomy," IMF Working Papers 2019/233, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Gibbs, Christopher G. & Xin, Herbert W., 2024. "The sacrifice ratio and active fiscal policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    9. Park, Kwangyong, 2022. "The excess sensitivity of long-term interest rates and central bank credibility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    10. Kulish, Mariano & Yamout, Nadine, 2024. "The fiscal arithmetic of a slowdown in trend growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    11. Patrizio Tirelli & Maria Ferrara, 2020. "Disinflation, Inequality, And Welfare In A Tank Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1297-1313, July.
    12. Eusepi, Stefano & Gibbs, Chris & Preston, Bruce, 2021. "Forward guidance with unanchored expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/2021, Bank of Finland.
    13. Kwangyong Park, 2018. "Central Bank Credibility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2018-45, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    14. Faryna, Oleksandr & Jonsson, Magnus & Shapovalenko, Nadiia, 2021. "The cost of disinflation in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy," Working Paper Series 407, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Oct 2025.
    15. Carvalho, Carlos & Eusepi, Stefano & , & Preston, Bruce, 2019. "Anchored Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 13900, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. James B. Bullard, 2022. "Reflections on the Disinflationary Methods of Poincaré and Thatcher," Speech 94556, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    17. Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 393-423, December.
    18. Federico Sturzenegger, 2019. "Macri´s Macro: The meandering road to stability and growth," Working Papers 135, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Oct 2019.

  • Cuffe, Harold E & Gibbs, Christopher G, 2015. "The effect of payday lending restrictions on liquor sales," Working Paper Series 19347, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.

    Cited by:

    1. Dasgupta, Kabir & Mason, Brenden J., 2020. "The effect of interest rate caps on bankruptcy: Synthetic control evidence from recent payday lending bans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    2. J. Brandon Bolen & Gregory Elliehausen & Thomas W. Miller, 2020. "Do Consumers Need More Protection From Small‐Dollar Lenders? Historical Evidence And A Roadmap For Future Research," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(4), pages 1577-1613, October.
    3. Fu, Shun & Li, Emma & Liao, Li & Wang, Zhengwei & Xiang, Hongyu, 2025. "Unveiling the villain: Credit supply and the debt trap," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  • George W. Evans & Christopher G. Gibbs & Bruce McGough, 2025. "A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 101-133, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Gibbs, Christopher G. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2024. "Conditionally optimal weights and forward-looking approaches to combining forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1734-1751.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Gelfer, Sacha & Gibbs, Christopher G., 2023. "Measuring the effects of large-scale asset purchases: The role of international financial markets and the financial accelerator," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    Cited by:

    1. Xinglin Liu, 2025. "Carbon emission constraint: A catalyst for the shift from real economy to financialization?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 46(1), pages 590-601, January.
    2. Chen, Hsuan-Chi & Chou, Robin K. & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lu, Chien-Lin, 2025. "Too big to fail? Asymmetric effects of quantitative easing," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    3. Yang, Tongbin & Zhou, Bo, 2024. "Local FinTech development, industrial structure, and north-south economic disparity in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

  • Christopher Gibbs & Nigel McClung, 2023. "Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 393-423, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Christopher G. Gibbs & Jonathan Hambur & Gabriela Nodari, 2021. "Housing and Commodity Investment Booms in a Small Open Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(317), pages 212-242, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Gross, Isaac & Leigh, Andrew, 2022. "Assessing Australian Monetary Policy in the Twenty-First Century," IZA Discussion Papers 15561, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. James Graham & Alistair Read, 2023. "House Prices, Monetary Policy and Commodities: Evidence from Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(324), pages 1-31, March.

  • Gibbs, Christopher G., 2018. "Learning to believe in secular stagnation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 50-54.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Cuffe, Harold E. & Gibbs, Christopher G., 2017. "The effect of payday lending restrictions on liquor sales," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 132-145.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Christopher G. Gibbs, 2017. "Forecast combination, non-linear dynamics, and the macroeconomy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 63(3), pages 653-686, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  • Gibbs, Christopher G. & Kulish, Mariano, 2017. "Disinflations in a model of imperfectly anchored expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 157-174.
    See citations under working paper version above.