Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020
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http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
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Affiliations:
1 Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
2 Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
3 Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom
4 Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, University of Heidelberg, Germany
Correspondence:
Annelies Wilder-Smith
annelies.wilder-smith lshtm.ac.uk
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Abstract
Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.
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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
2020-04-02
2026-02-19
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